No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $55.94K
- Potential payout
- $65.43K
- Potential profit
- $9.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Polymarket Trader
QWETR12345
0xdd1db2f6caa04a8bc5c7b86b340ff7a64ceebbf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.59K
- Realized PnL
- $2.94K
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $54.24K
- Potential payout
- $59.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.39K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $49.02K
- Potential payout
- $54.17K
- Potential profit
- $5.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $32.23K
- Potential payout
- $32.41K
- Potential profit
- $178.27
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.47K
- Potential payout
- $16.48K
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- User PnL
- $6.47K
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.46K
- Potential payout
- $9.51K
- Potential profit
- $47.55
- User PnL
- $491.12
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $6.02K
- Potential payout
- $6.54K
- Potential profit
- $523.23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $316.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $5.67K
- Potential payout
- $6.05K
- Potential profit
- $381.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $368.58
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $332.24
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $66.45
No position
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $199.35
- Potential payout
- $204.14
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.46
No position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.72
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.28
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.99
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.4
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.37
No position
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.37
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $125.27
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.36
No position
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.42
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.55
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $24.67
No position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
No position
NATO article 5 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$666.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 60.7% 16,478.42 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.2% 10,804.23 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.2% 26,708.72 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 18,157.42 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 97.4% 14,405.63 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 83.7% 11,319.16 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 84% 9,800.76 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 84% 11,811.39 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 83.3% 11,655.13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 85% 2,631.84 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 82.5% 9,697.33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 82% 11,148.33 shares