Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.67K
- Potential profit
- $12.67K
- User PnL
- -$114.01
Polymarket Trader
WatchTheTape
0xdd287fd025c76163eeb23345c3a8595f728a374a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.96K
- Realized PnL
- $11.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $9.95K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $178.73
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$19.82
No position
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $591.2
- Potential payout
- $902.59
- Potential profit
- $311.39
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$83.65
Mimi Xu position
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Elsa Jacquemot
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556
- Potential profit
- $556
- User PnL
- -$200.16
Yes position
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $221.56
- Potential payout
- $509.34
- Potential profit
- $287.78
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $17.83
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$214
No position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $327.09
- Potential payout
- $470.7
- Potential profit
- $143.61
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$80
Kamilla Rakhimova position
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $98.6
- Potential payout
- $313
- Potential profit
- $214.41
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$101.73
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.6
- Potential profit
- $299.6
- User PnL
- -$104.86
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $138.19
- Potential payout
- $251.25
- Potential profit
- $113.06
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$81.66
No position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $208.04
- Potential payout
- $215.25
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $126.97
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $7.03
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $27.81
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $98.68
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $32.89
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $95.71
- Potential payout
- $121.92
- Potential profit
- $26.21
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$10.36
No position
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $81.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $17.49
No position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $96.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Felix Gill position
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Felix Gill vs Marco Trungelliti
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$50.4
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $85.05
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $66.49
- Potential payout
- $86.92
- Potential profit
- $20.43
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $66.92
- Potential payout
- $73.14
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $38.98
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $30.02
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$23.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.58
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.91
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $600.48
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.78
No position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.12
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527.5
No position
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.21
Yes position
Will Santos FC win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.6
No position
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.92
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $376.52
Yes position
Will Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.09
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.3
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.16
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.42
No position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.52
No position
Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.21
No position
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.65
Yes position
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.54
No position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.7
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.53
Real Madrid position
Supercopa Semfinal: Real Madrid vs. Mallorca
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Felix Gill vs Marco TrungellitiFelix Gill 56% 90 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 54% 50 shares
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Camila Osorio vs Ajla TomljanovicAjla Tomljanovic 61% 82 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 9,948.46 shares
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hanne VandewinkelZeynep Sonmez 67% 281.05 shares
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana SelekhmetevaKamilla Rakhimova 64% 313 shares
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Elsa JacquemotMimi Xu 36% 556 shares
- Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Yulia PutintsevaAnna Blinkova 48% 418 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 40% 509.34 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 31% 1,551.37 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 3% 1,369.92 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 7% 749 shares