Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $13.72
- Potential profit
- $11.32
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Polymarket Trader
0xdd37...47e4
0xdd37d1f403d1900a0ca0a87aa375cdd703c447e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $95.48
- Realized PnL
- $194.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $13.46
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $12.28
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $11.45
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $11.29
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $9.21
- Potential profit
- $7.51
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $7.6
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $5.39
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.7%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $6.16
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 3.75x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.21
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
Will Apple dip to $248 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Down position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 26.3% 6.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26% 6.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 10.15 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 56% 12.5 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 31.7% 7.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 71% 7.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 56% 12.21 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 68% 7.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 28% 6.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 43% 8 shares