Yes position
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Polymarket Trader
alvinasw
0xdd3e189c02fd55e87bd72c041de02ffa6e13bd4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.47
- Realized PnL
- $1.66K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $155.47
- Potential payout
- $222.09
- Potential profit
- $66.63
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$44.53
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.14
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.81
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$54.82
Yes position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$191.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 90.1% 222.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes 45% 5.27 shares
- Will Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Yes 88% 2.36 shares
- Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes 99% 498.77 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 99.9% 2,306.48 shares
- Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes 2.8% 298.5 shares
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?Yes 65% 121.54 shares
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?Yes 64.5% 155.11 shares
- Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?No 99% 5,868.87 shares
- Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?No 69.9% 5,868.87 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 77.2% 5,317.54 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 78.2% 5,317.54 shares