Polymarket Trader

0xdd48...23d0

0xdd484f70597f61313661a1a9142d47a4efb123d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $13.34
Realized PnL: $36.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.11
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.33
Potential profit: $71.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.41
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30.19
Potential profit: $30.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.33
Potential profit: $28.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $20.97
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.46
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $5.94
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5.61
Potential profit: $5.59
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 18% 7.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 30.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 17% 5.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 7% 6.66 shares