Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $208.26
- Potential payout
- $438.45
- Potential profit
- $230.19
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$46.85
Polymarket Trader
Miguelprado
0xdd4bb791094fba6287360855d5aa744e74c93568
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $589.2
- Realized PnL
- $435.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $142.09
- Potential payout
- $275.91
- Potential profit
- $133.82
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $11.79
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $42.21
- Potential payout
- $272.34
- Potential profit
- $230.13
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$105.76
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $34.1
- Potential payout
- $241.99
- Potential profit
- $207.89
- Multiplier
- 7.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $134.34
- Potential profit
- $126.08
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $111.85
- Potential profit
- $107.43
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $12.55
- Potential payout
- $106.78
- Potential profit
- $94.23
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $94.51
- Potential profit
- $88.7
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $18.51
- Potential payout
- $71.05
- Potential profit
- $52.54
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$19.31
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $69.95
- Potential profit
- $60.4
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $66.52
- Potential profit
- $54.25
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $14.04
- Potential payout
- $55.05
- Potential profit
- $41.01
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$15.96
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $50.54
- Potential profit
- $46.82
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $10.34
- Potential payout
- $41.28
- Potential profit
- $30.94
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $29.89
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $22.2
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $11.17
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $13.62
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Y
Yes position
Ecuador leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.11
- Potential profit
- $9.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.31
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.44
Yes position
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.03
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.2
Yes position
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Yes position
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes 62% 1.62 shares
- Endrick: 1+ goalsYes 6% 5 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo 88% 63.29 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo 79% 63.29 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo 75% 67.56 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 16.6 shares
- Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Yes 53% 1.79 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 99.2% 108.26 shares
- Endrick: 1+ goalsYes 40% 5 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo 74% 67.57 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 36.75 shares