No position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
FortunateSuns
0xdd5b6674807edf2d0efe615532aaa81b5a2fefbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.59
- Realized PnL
- $3.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $953.31
- Potential profit
- $953.31
- User PnL
- -$418
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $859.67
- Potential profit
- $859.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $839.29
- Potential profit
- $839.29
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $705.36
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695.89
- Potential profit
- $695.89
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $693.96
- Potential profit
- $693.96
- User PnL
- -$289
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $693.5
- Potential profit
- $693.5
- User PnL
- -$87
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $64.77
- Potential payout
- $681.82
- Potential profit
- $617.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.23
No position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $564.23
- Potential profit
- $564.23
- User PnL
- -$50.78
Yes position
Will Germany win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.07
- Potential profit
- $433.07
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $413.64
- Potential profit
- $413.64
- User PnL
- -$15
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Wild
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.48
- Potential profit
- $387.48
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.63
- Potential profit
- $356.63
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $338.98
- Potential profit
- $268.98
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $53.89
- Potential payout
- $337.84
- Potential profit
- $283.95
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$46.11
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305
- Potential profit
- $305
- User PnL
- -$48.91
Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.5
- Potential profit
- $287.5
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.98
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.31
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.55
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.94
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.39
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.97
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.48
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.46
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.9
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.95
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.43
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.07
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.02
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.73
Flyers position
Penguins vs. Flyers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.41
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.16
Yes position
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.47
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.8
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.52
Under 5.5 position
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Kings Total Games O/U 5.5
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.35
Golden Knights position
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.34
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.54
Over position
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.22
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.48
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.29
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.32
Lightning position
Lightning vs. Canadiens
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.41
Senators position
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.31
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.47
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.37
Yes position
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.96
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.3
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.93
No position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.65
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.68
Under position
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.15
Red Wings position
Senators vs. Red Wings
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.33
Over position
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.22
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.32
No position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.19
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.64
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.35
Sharks position
Canucks vs. Sharks
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.81
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.81
Oilers position
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.59
Hurricanes position
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 80% 150.85 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes 56.8% 82.76 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes 18% 161.11 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 48.7% 102.67 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 61.5% 35.77 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 42% 53.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp 55% 23.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp 43% 23.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown 5% 20 shares