Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $6.88K
- Potential payout
- $56.14K
- Potential profit
- $49.27K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.62K
Polymarket Trader
thechainsmokers
0xdd8184551f4b3fca3fc780d4d1c6342d7c2d9640
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.88K
- Realized PnL
- $285.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.72K
Mavericks position
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44K
Raptors position
Pacers vs. Raptors
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.07K
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63K
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Pelicans
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.78K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.58K
Suns position
Pacers vs. Suns
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49K
Texans position
Bills vs. Texans
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55K
Cavaliers position
Pelicans vs. Cavaliers
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9K
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Clippers
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73K
Indiana position
Miami vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
76ers position
76ers vs. Bucks
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $805.17
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $789.57
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.73
No position
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.89
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $261.26
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.62
Seahawks position
49ers vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.6
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 81% 25,314.12 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 82% 300.3 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 83% 22,891.57 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 83% 99,493.77 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 83% 41,737.02 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 81% 1,476.74 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 81% 5,194.5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 9,879.17 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17% 563.62 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.2% 9,129.8 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 56% 5,082.02 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.6% 143.47 shares