0xdD97F81387d19187f2B2298f332ABD50EeaAFdD2-1771640021528

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $23.94
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $23.64
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $17.28
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $16.92
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.47
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $12.13
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.62
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $10.16
Multiplier: 6.54x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.58
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.96
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 42.8%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.47
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.71
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $9.48
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.76
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $11.66
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.26

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $14.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?