Polymarket Trader

0xdD9DB48BD792D5CEED6500320ab4Ac621d6DCc8A-1767746477609

0xdd9db48bd792d5ceed6500320ab4ac621d6dcc8a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $308.51
Realized PnL: -$446.63
Win rate: 34.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $42.19
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $270.31
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$57.81

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $24.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $100.63
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$25.62

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $31.08
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $79.92
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$18.87

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $90.91
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $40.91

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $11.61
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $77.68
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$38.39

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.73
Potential profit: $80.73
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $50.41
Potential payout: $65.05
Potential profit: $14.64
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $57.94
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.55

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.13

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.43

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.57

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.02

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.63

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.83

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$49.6

Yes position

State of the Union Bingo - Card 3

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.92

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Yes 66% 75.76 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Yes 53% 94.3 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 19% 86.16 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 32% 312.5 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 65% 79.36 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 74% 80.64 shares
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Yes 1.6% 73.36 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 0.5% 80.5 shares
State of the Union Bingo - Card 3

Yes 0.1% 78.12 shares
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Yes 54.5% 73.36 shares
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?

Yes 68% 73.53 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 63% 79.37 shares