Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $173.75
- Potential payout
- $219.93
- Potential profit
- $46.19
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Polymarket Trader
ry2001
0xddad31492f9b3becba2d57c93f519d49ed93d5db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $271.87
- Realized PnL
- $965.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $28.13
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $46.88
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$27.12
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $61.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$33.25
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $61.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.25
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.98
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.9
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.55
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.98
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.98
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.8
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.24
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 20% 45 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 60% 50 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 20% 48.42 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 84% 5 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 84% 5 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 84% 30 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 85% 8 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 85% 8 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 85% 53.28 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 85% 5 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Yes 85% 24.4 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 72% 8 shares