Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $99.71
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $250.28
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Polymarket Trader
xiaohuahua
0xddae31ced6bcf32fb5fc3bc52cbff56709ac33cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $123.21
- Realized PnL
- -$1.08K
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.89
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $555.26
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $361.88
Yes position
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.6
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $58.97
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.42
No position
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.76
76ers position
76ers vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$246.95
No position
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$258.51
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$851.8
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.58K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?No 79% 0.36 shares
- Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?No 80% 46.05 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No 28% 24,546 shares
- Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?No 74% 26,280.59 shares
- Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?No 75% 26,327 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 27.3% 4 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 27.4% 654 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No 26% 24,695 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 27.2% 658 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 72% 27,763 shares
- Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes 69% 13,795 shares
- Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes 73% 23,795 shares