No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.91K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Polymarket Trader
Reckless9
0xddb1ecc4ddf67d6732630d5eea099f9ffa53ea72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.04K
- Realized PnL
- $22.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
No position
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- User PnL
- $20.59
Yes position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $407.98
- Potential payout
- $995.07
- Potential profit
- $587.09
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $31.31
Team WE position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $545.45
- Potential profit
- $545.45
- User PnL
- -$20
Over position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.08
- Potential profit
- $287.08
- User PnL
- -$92.2
Yes position
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $259.04
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.99
EDward Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $57.4
- Potential payout
- $153.07
- Potential profit
- $95.67
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Team WE position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.07
- Potential profit
- $149.07
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Over position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.73
- Potential profit
- $140.73
- User PnL
- -$10.9
Team WE position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.89
- Potential profit
- $113.89
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.58
- Potential profit
- $64.58
- User PnL
- -$10.27
Team WE position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $43.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $15.25
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.23
- Potential profit
- $34.23
- User PnL
- -$14.9
EDward Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22K
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19K
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.99
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.25
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.66
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.81
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.86
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $32.14
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.63
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.59
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 37.7% 53.08 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?No 62% 80.65 shares
- Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes 97% 165 shares
- Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes 96% 43.31 shares
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports 2% 250 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 9.32 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 57% 44.02 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes 47% 44.36 shares
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over 10% 6.51 shares
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over 46% 43.48 shares
- Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?No 99% 451.74 shares
- Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?No 98% 447.9 shares