Polymarket Trader

xierdo

0xddbb0708214e8ca5032c3340e68c2b5100c51d15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $66.13
Realized PnL: $17.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.55K
Potential profit: $11.55K
User PnL: -$186.96

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$151

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $21.81
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$28.18

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$107.7

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $44.32
Potential payout: $738.6
Potential profit: $694.28
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$29.54

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.35
Potential profit: $519.35
User PnL: -$161

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.69
Potential profit: $54.69
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 10% 738.6 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.9% 1,745.17 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 2.8% 214.29 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 2.6% 192.31 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Yes 1.1% 454.62 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 0.9% 1,200 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 9.4% 200 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 1% 1,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Yes 8% 1,200 shares