No position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $51.13
- Potential payout
- $51.93
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Polymarket Trader
Legacymid
0xddc912462851be21f88a305a99ba39ee845add41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $65.15
- Realized PnL
- $4.09
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $6.6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will FC Alverca vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Sri Lanka position
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy talk by August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will CD Getxo win on 2025-10-30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?No 98.8% 2.02 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?Yes 97% 2.06 shares
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 89% 3.37 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.2% 51.93 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 98% 6.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 28?No 90.7% 3.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?No 95% 3.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 28?No 98% 3.06 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.9% 1.24 shares
- Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?No 86% 2.15 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 94.2% 7.18 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99% 1.24 shares