anhydride

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $19.29
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $490.25
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $9.82
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $347.32
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $107.73
Potential payout: $113.4
Potential profit: $5.67
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.27

Iga Swiatek position

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek

Implied probability: 76.6%
Current value: $83.58
Potential payout: $109.12
Potential profit: $25.53
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$16.42

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $97.42
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $7.84
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $98.89
Potential payout: $101.32
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $70.38
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $21.62
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $18.39
Potential payout: $85.53
Potential profit: $67.14
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$6.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $69.65
Potential payout: $70.92
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $41.91
Potential profit: $38.56
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$6.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $31.13
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $1.13

Prestige position

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $12.02
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $11.21
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $10.79
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

Paraguay position

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Paraguay position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Katie Swan position

Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Team Liquid position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.41

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Donstu Esports position

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 28.2%
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Zimbabwe win?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.03

Lautaro Midon position

Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Stefan Haita

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Jaime Faria position

Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Faria

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Adrian Mannarino position

Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Kamil Majchrzak position

Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Marie Bouzkova position

Wimbledon WTA: Talia Gibson vs Marie Bouzkova

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 93.6%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?