Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $38.79
- Potential profit
- $38.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.27
Polymarket Trader
taylortodd
0xddcc82ad9553d5db77f52a17743d5b1eeef2d167
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.85
- Realized PnL
- $43.04
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $34.94
- Potential payout
- $34.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $23.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $15.53
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,800 on September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Canelo position
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
90k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Crawford position
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?Yes 40% 21.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 2?Yes 42% 38.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?Yes 33.8% 34.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 44% 7.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26?No 66% 19.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?Yes 26.1% 42.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?Yes 38.7% 34.59 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?Yes 53% 21.89 shares
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 74% 16.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?No 70% 33.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 17?Yes 34% 20.53 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?No 32% 28.56 shares