Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Polymarket Trader
66s
0xddcea3bb4ae8e07db6a998081ebb8ab9bc9e7194
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $521.71
- Realized PnL
- $942.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $89.77
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $39.6
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $16.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $59.49
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $37.52
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.48
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $46.78
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $20.82
Yes position
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $108 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $16.33
- Potential payout
- $41.35
- Potential profit
- $25.02
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$17.57
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.74
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $18.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $6.13
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $23.54
- Potential profit
- $23.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.93
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.2
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $8.37
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.4
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.2
No position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35
Up position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4000 on August 8 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.07
Yes position
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?No 70% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?Yes 28.9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 23?No 89.8% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 23?No 88% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?Yes 24% 30 shares
- Will the announcers say "Handball" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?No 54% 5.08 shares
- Will the announcers say "Champion" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 84% 15.45 shares
- Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 6% 85.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?Yes 28% 23.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 23?Yes 38.4% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?Yes 30% 22.92 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 79% 55 shares