Yes position
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $17.49
- Potential payout
- $521.99
- Potential profit
- $504.51
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $12.52
Polymarket Trader
0xDDd1e00a5Aa391bFC5C3C5EA99fc33C96bf0e06C-1775513790879
0xddd1e00a5aa391bfc5c3c5ea99fc33c96bf0e06c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.81
- Realized PnL
- $26.91
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.99
- Potential profit
- $197.99
- User PnL
- -$84.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.76
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.09
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Yes position
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $14.74
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$15.38
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 39% 53.15 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 6.6% 332.38 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 0.1% 31,333.04 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 6.8% 512.1 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 0.1% 9,417.92 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 6.9% 83.52 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 42% 10.9 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 0.1% 3,020 shares
- Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?Yes 7% 43.1 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?Yes 7% 43.1 shares
- Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?Yes 3.5% 30 shares