Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $869.55
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.36K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$773.23
Polymarket Trader
ausbet
0xdde7f1e4a512e483f822000ae246fd8f5a19ca8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24K
- Realized PnL
- $925.38
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $103.25
- Potential payout
- $590
- Potential profit
- $486.75
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $451.91
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$61.81
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $10.58
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $279.42
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$30.02
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24.6
Yes position
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.96
- Potential profit
- $197.96
- User PnL
- -$41.39
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $160.65
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.95
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $21.6
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $138.4
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$54.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$13.66
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $151.9
- Potential profit
- $142.03
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$18.43
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $59.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $90.75
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$15.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$36.4
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $69
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $109.99
- User PnL
- -$59.4
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $56.5
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.12
- Potential profit
- $90.12
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$35.4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.46
- Potential profit
- $54.46
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.54
- Potential profit
- $48.54
- User PnL
- -$13.11
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.28
- Potential profit
- $32.28
- User PnL
- -$6.78
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $11.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.15
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $27.59
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $22.59
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.09
- Potential profit
- $29.09
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.81
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.95
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.12
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
No position
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
Will Olympique Lyon play in Ligue 1?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 15–20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 13% 153.85 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 18% 12.97 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 11% 200 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 20% 390 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Yes 7.9% 37.97 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 28% 99.31 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes 28% 65.97 shares
- Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Yes 59% 60 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 12% 50 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 24% 20 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 56% 30 shares