Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Madoukou
0xddf1a3802f06152176dbb2bf68193817eaa1325f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.67
- Realized PnL
- $42.33
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.38
- Potential profit
- $45.38
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.66
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 7.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp 44% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp 99% 7.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp 68% 7.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp 62% 6.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp 80% 6.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 41% 11.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 43% 11.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown 46.3% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown 44% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 62% 8.92 shares