No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $20.14
- Potential payout
- $20.94
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
0xdDFDf1616Af953f98f78aFB324979C809F8Fa0d0-1774767892703
0xddfdf1616af953f98f78afb324979c809f8fa0d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $389.4
- Realized PnL
- $31.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $20.38
- Potential payout
- $20.9
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $20.49
- Potential payout
- $20.9
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $18.83
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $20.21
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $20.11
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.71
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $20.72
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $20.65
- Potential payout
- $20.81
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $18.86
- Potential payout
- $20.77
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $20.04
- Potential payout
- $20.73
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20.73
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $20.46
- Potential payout
- $20.68
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $20.07
- Potential payout
- $20.66
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $17.8
- Potential payout
- $20.66
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $20.44
- Potential payout
- $20.66
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20.64
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $20.32
- Potential payout
- $20.64
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.32
N
No position
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No 74% 13.51 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No 96.7% 20.68 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 96.5% 20.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?No 96% 20.83 shares
- Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No 96.9% 20.64 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.9% 20.64 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 96% 20.83 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 20.66 shares
- Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?No 95.7% 20.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96.8% 20.66 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 96.5% 20.73 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 96.8% 20.66 shares