Polymarket Trader

0xdE00342b5E1E216b0ecDB6912f0161606b50dF2a-1770754768853

0xde00342b5e1e216b0ecdb6912f0161606b50df2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.25
Realized PnL: $142.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $8.69
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $6.48
Potential payout: $8.26
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $5.41
Potential payout: $7.96
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $7.53
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $6.86
Potential payout: $7.39
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

Over position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

33 position

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Team Lynx position

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Chicago Wolves position

AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Chicago Wolves

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the median home value in the US be between $425,000 and $427,500 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

T1 position

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

G2 Minnesota position

Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Team Spirit 99.9% 7.93 shares
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

Pipsqueak+4 48% 9.59 shares
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

Pipsqueak+4 45% 9.67 shares
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Guilherme Pat 20% 9.52 shares
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Alice Pereira 54% 8.67 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?

No 89.1% 7.86 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

FUT Esports 58% 7.87 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

Yes 14.5% 5.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?

No 0.2% 0.05 shares
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

No 98.9% 0.1 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

Yes 15.2% 1.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?

No 3% 0.5 shares