0xde24...d3f4

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $28.68
Potential payout: $29.37
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.36
Potential payout: $19.4
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $16.07
Potential payout: $16.19
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $4.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.99
Potential payout: $15.46
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $11.53
Potential profit: $11.51
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.49
Potential payout: $11.5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $11.01
Potential payout: $11.02
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $9.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $9.7
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $9.36
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.63
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $1.84
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $4.68
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $4.32
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $4.32
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.66
Potential payout: $3.96
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET