Yes position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $98.13
- Potential payout
- $785
- Potential profit
- $686.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$68.13
Polymarket Trader
0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171
0xde289ba666e7bb7c74c65ae0a03c9f78d91c2115
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.52K
- Realized PnL
- $19.65
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $507
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$16.16
Yes position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $49.01
- Potential payout
- $500.12
- Potential profit
- $451.11
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- -$35.11
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $42.75
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $407.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$20.25
No position
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $327.2
- Potential payout
- $409
- Potential profit
- $81.8
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.34
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $229.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $120.75
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $34.13
No position
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $273.7
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $66.3
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $72.74
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $204
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $132.7
- Potential payout
- $172
- Potential profit
- $39.3
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $46.32
- Potential payout
- $157
- Potential profit
- $110.69
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $38.19
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $75.81
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.45
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$15.45
Yes position
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.2%
- Current value
- $30.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $69.85
- Multiplier
- 3.32x
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $86.49
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $73.92
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $12.87
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $65.13
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$8.14
No position
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $21.6
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $14.54
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.8
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.36
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.81
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $19.34
Yes position
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 19?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.01
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No 83% 10 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 17% 78 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 34% 30 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 34% 62 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 35% 22 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 18.5% 95 shares
- Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No 86% 17 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 18.2% 65 shares
- Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?No 50% 36 shares
- Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No 79.2% 49 shares
- Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No 72% 17 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 13% 27 shares