Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $15.14
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Polymarket Trader
arbinaut
0xde3d11cc1d08538cd56a153e0ae4789ea76c81df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.3K
- Realized PnL
- $1.94K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$893.69
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $282
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $918
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$438
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$48
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $46.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $67.27
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $48.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $50.05
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $705
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $295
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $856.93
- Potential payout
- $860.37
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- User PnL
- $87.82
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $194.87
- Potential payout
- $708.62
- Potential profit
- $513.75
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $324
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $276
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $462.84
- Potential payout
- $489.78
- Potential profit
- $26.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $22.04
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.82
- Potential profit
- $476.82
- User PnL
- -$100.13
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $193.14
- Potential payout
- $419.88
- Potential profit
- $226.74
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$32.75
No position
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $90.97
- Potential payout
- $126.34
- Potential profit
- $35.38
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $22.04
- Potential payout
- $32.89
- Potential profit
- $10.85
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.22
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.51
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
No position
Cardano ETF in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 65% 29.51 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 53.8% 419.88 shares
- Will Solana reach $100 in June?No 90.4% 663.74 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?Yes 47.3% 300 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k 84.9% 942.39 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No 86% 760.76 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 89% 800 shares
- Cardano ETF in 2025?No 97.7% 262.1 shares
- Will Base launch a token in 2025?No 92.9% 116.58 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 7,142.22 shares
- TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes 14.2% 452.68 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 96.4% 66.48 shares