Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $632.83
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $892.06
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$134.92
Polymarket Trader
paulkplayz
0xde472eaa711b691f852e24b929ce63f5c8334e7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $779.4
- Realized PnL
- $793.54
- Win rate
- 38.1%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $38.69
- Potential payout
- $595.25
- Potential profit
- $556.56
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$86.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $37.8
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $382.2
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$88.2
No position
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369.09
- Potential profit
- $369.09
- User PnL
- -$47.82
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $37.81
- Potential payout
- $308.64
- Potential profit
- $270.83
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.72
- Potential profit
- $216.72
- User PnL
- -$42.88
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.9
- Potential profit
- $200.9
- User PnL
- -$63.86
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $32.14
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $146.43
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$17.86
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.11
- Potential profit
- $170.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.77
- Potential profit
- $108.77
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25.22
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.86
- Potential profit
- $76.86
- User PnL
- -$50.73
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $62.69
- Potential profit
- $62.56
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $476.22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.53
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.09
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.66
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.08
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.44
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$60.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.1
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.04
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.24
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$174.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 52.9% 1,058.6 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 21% 120.95 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 4% 700 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 15% 250.35 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 31.5% 150.37 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 48% 899.96 shares
- Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?No 13% 369.09 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 52% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes 66% 76.86 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 26.8% 173 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 33% 177 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 31% 126.37 shares