Polymarket Trader

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0xde4bc0e18354aac124d92bd34154cc4e8510b1b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.95K
Realized PnL: $436
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $663.77
Potential payout: $53.1K
Potential profit: $52.44K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $34.23K
Potential profit: $32.27K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.34K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $138.75
Potential payout: $13.21K
Potential profit: $13.08K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$141.21

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $302.52
Potential payout: $12.35K
Potential profit: $12.05K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $135.04

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $496.41
Potential payout: $8.63K
Potential profit: $8.14K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$278.56

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $339.86
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $8.26K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$110.13

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $602.38
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.27K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$67.61

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $869.25
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $254.25

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $352.82
Potential payout: $685.08
Potential profit: $332.26
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $42.97

Yes position

Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $18.07
Potential payout: $440.84
Potential profit: $422.77
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$61.93

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $113.07
Potential payout: $403.84
Potential profit: $290.76
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $13.07

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6.72
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $338.1
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $13.29
Potential payout: $276.92
Potential profit: $263.63
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$16.71

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $41.05
Potential payout: $210.51
Potential profit: $169.46
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$48.95

Yes position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.39
Potential profit: $167.39
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.94
Potential profit: $166.94
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $12.83
Potential payout: $111.59
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$22.17

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.93
Potential profit: $81.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.08
Potential profit: $79.08
User PnL: -$53.73

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $14.35
Potential payout: $77.57
Potential profit: $63.22
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$20.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.09
Potential profit: $77.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.44
Potential profit: $65.44
User PnL: -$18.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.64

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.55

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.23

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.59

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.31

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.6% 362.5 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 1,463.81 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 7,692.31 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.3% 1,307.19 shares
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45.4% 440 shares
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44.9% 245.08 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.4% 2,881.94 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 62.5 shares
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 49% 48.38 shares
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Yes 10.3% 228.72 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 14,655.57 shares
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 188.57 shares