No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $405
Polymarket Trader
ran
0xde65b1511c46b561e394e3c897f1a14367ebeea5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.97K
- Realized PnL
- $17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $230
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $82.99
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $302.95
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $935
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $85
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $775
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $55
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $555.38
- Potential payout
- $645.79
- Potential profit
- $90.41
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $22.83
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $546.92
- Potential profit
- $546.92
- User PnL
- -$466.86
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.6
- Potential profit
- $225.6
- User PnL
- -$179.84
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $18.71
- Potential payout
- $38.57
- Potential profit
- $19.86
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $10.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.85
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.56
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.82
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.51
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.63
No position
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.72
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.18
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.37
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.36
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
No position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 79% 500 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 1,000 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 72% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 94% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 68% 85.7 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82.2% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 96.5% 140 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 96.4% 66.43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84% 200 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 82% 40.6 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 82.5% 645.79 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 88% 167.93 shares