No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $69.08
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $18.92
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $25.08
Polymarket Trader
0xde69...686d
0xde691504c44bc0e65240ba646b4fc4eb96ab686d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $79.97
- Realized PnL
- -$23.03
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $25.03
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.08
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$24.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 8 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 9 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 20% 8 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 85% 7 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 90% 6 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 20% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.5% 21 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 91% 7 shares