Polymarket Trader

thebug44

0xde7cdcab3e0c5b0e8315da358e80c7d80a12c933

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.29K
Realized PnL: $177.01K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $180.18K
Potential profit: $170.18K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$73.15

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.9K
Potential profit: $106.9K
User PnL: -$392.75

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.37K
Potential profit: $76.37K
User PnL: -$41.45K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.97K
Potential profit: $64.97K
User PnL: -$8.35K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.11K
Potential profit: $50.11K
User PnL: -$24.55K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.54K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $24.47K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $675

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $25.88K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$705

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52K
Potential profit: $18.52K
User PnL: -$634.49

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $15.39K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $270

Yes position

Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $672.43
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $206.9

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.62K
User PnL: -$2.95K

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $4.28K
User PnL: -$942.88

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$2.06K

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$342

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $34.24
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$317.75

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $249.15
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $22.65

Yes position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $66.71
Potential payout: $325.39
Potential profit: $258.69
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $5.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.37K

No position

Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.56K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73K

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Pistons position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.23K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Sabalenka position

Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780.99

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $264.24

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $112.08

Spurs position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.98

No position

March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.46

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 49% 752.52 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 60% 4,000 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 7,580 shares
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 9% 1,277.3 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.3% 14,000 shares
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 13% 6,000 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 54% 21,400 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 220 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 30,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 30,000 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 46% 21,500 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 78.9% 64,061.42 shares