No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $11.51K
- Potential payout
- $13.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Polymarket Trader
dahu1
0xde8fc2229ed519fba61934a37937c24fc1c28fd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.99K
- Realized PnL
- $18.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $431.15
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $24.91
- User PnL
- $660.17
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$141.87
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $147.49
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $203
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $39.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$68.4
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $13.67
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$128.35
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $160
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $840
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $489.3
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$36.8
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $59.4
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $160.6
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$19.8
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $10.56
- Potential payout
- $197.34
- Potential profit
- $186.78
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.83
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.15
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875.8
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.18
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $681.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.31
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.7
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.91
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.2
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.38
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.76
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.54
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.6
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $336.7
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $305.88
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.52
No position
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 1,400 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 75% 1,400 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 9.94 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 28.9% 999.97 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 77% 179.06 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 76% 65.06 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 9.1% 1,425.15 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 59.7% 300 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 33.9% 249.99 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 67% 55 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 12% 41.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 4,099.97 shares