No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.04K
- User PnL
- -$8.62K
Polymarket Trader
Vort3xhz
0xde937b881ce91af505820ef55e5456c8edc85ff7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.6K
- Realized PnL
- $11.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.66K
- User PnL
- -$5.48K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $5.38K
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $271.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $162.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $27.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $214.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $929.18
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.36
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.3
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.32
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.64
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.77
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.09
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.88
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.81
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.57
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.61
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.98
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.88
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.17
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.93
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.61
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.78
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 1,757.39 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 94% 531.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 617.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 94.5% 2,116.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 97.6% 1,231.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.2% 1,260.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 96% 1,231.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 81% 1,234.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 92% 173.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 92% 1,086.96 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No 99.8% 274.72 shares