Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $20.05K
- Potential profit
- $17.84K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.99K
Polymarket Trader
KaiserLeave
0xde9533a0f91fa485742a21fda410ccdcf5810f6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.48K
- Realized PnL
- $12.05K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$4.69K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.16K
- Potential profit
- $6.16K
- User PnL
- -$3.54K
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$40.8
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $277.3
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$118.84
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $509.85
- Potential profit
- $509.85
- User PnL
- -$50.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?
Ends Nov 10, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Lower position
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $860
Yes position
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.83
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
Ends Sep 21, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.29
No position
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.95
Yes position
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?
Ends Sep 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.95
No position
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.01
No position
Will France win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.18
No position
Will England win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.88
No position
Will Germany win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.08
No position
Will Spain win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.28
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.34
Y
Yes position
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
Ends Oct 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.19
No position
Will Portugal win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $92.49
No position
Will Belgium win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.75
No position
Will Denmark win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.85
No position
Will Uruguay win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.85
No position
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?
Ends Sep 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 358286.26x
- User PnL
- -$31.8
Yes position
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2689573.79x
- User PnL
- -$37.98
Yes position
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?
Ends Oct 27, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1210754.25x
- User PnL
- -$59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 65% 4,613.06 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 35% 11,422.87 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 37% 1,292.83 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11% 10,016.82 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 38% 384.91 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 37.1% 5,250 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 14% 15,000 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 20% 25,016.82 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 34.8% 1,547.83 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes 6% 5,000 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes 1.6% 2,524.9 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 25% 1,584.56 shares