Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $212.06
- Potential payout
- $461
- Potential profit
- $248.94
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $96.81
Polymarket Trader
MichelleContreras8193
@GreenG15517
0xde9c22817bc7801b09825e9c8fe31938d594b418
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $596.86
- Realized PnL
- $3.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $134.08
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $126.66
- Potential payout
- $128
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $63.94
No position
Vanta IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $106.2
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $16.11
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.48
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $493.85
Yes position
Will John Oliver say "Europe" on Last Week Tonight?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.37
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $252.63
Over position
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.28
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $218.29
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.66
No position
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.97
Yes position
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $134.4
Yes position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $128.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.16
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.44
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.6
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.36
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $37.09
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.06
No position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.72
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.81
Yes position
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.23
Lamar Cardinals position
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.93
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $23.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 19% 515 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 26% 515 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?No 88% 172 shares
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 44.5% 40 shares
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 44.5% 469 shares
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 50.9% 509 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 76% 2,177 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No 28% 277 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No 28% 899 shares
- Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?No 66% 339 shares
- Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?No 66% 379 shares
- Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?No 66% 388 shares