Yes position
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.44
Polymarket Trader
Belle741
0xdec815deb7c7f34319e4e4b2ef82202f3ae11787
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $70.5
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.44
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 13 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 141 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 90.8% 92 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 152 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 152 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 92% 90 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 83% 43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 111 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 163 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 60 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 60 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 86% 98 shares