Polymarket Trader

DanielWi

0xdedf60844e9043954c7b792f9c4908d318d6fce8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.45
Realized PnL: $254.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.85
Potential profit: $296.85
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.14
Potential profit: $51.14
User PnL: -$38.87

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.66
Potential profit: $48.66
User PnL: -$37.95

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.92
Potential profit: $47.92
User PnL: -$36.42

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.04
Potential profit: $40.04
User PnL: -$24.82

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.68
Potential profit: $35.68
User PnL: -$22.84

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.94
Potential profit: $32.94
User PnL: -$28

No position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.35
Potential profit: $27.35
User PnL: -$19.99

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.43
Potential profit: $26.43
User PnL: -$19.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.49
Potential profit: $25.49
User PnL: -$19.35

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.09
Potential profit: $25.09
User PnL: -$19.32

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.68
Potential profit: $24.68
User PnL: -$18.02

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.34
Potential profit: $24.34
User PnL: -$18.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.24
Potential profit: $24.24
User PnL: -$17.94

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $17.72
Potential payout: $23.78
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.7
Potential profit: $23.7
User PnL: -$18.96

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $23.33
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $23.36
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.32

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $18.11
Potential payout: $23.07
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $18.68
Potential payout: $22.64
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $21.57
Potential payout: $22.36
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.57

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.81
User PnL: -$18.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.8
Potential profit: $21.8
User PnL: -$18.09

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $16.83
Potential payout: $21.58
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.75

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.34

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

No position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

No position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

No position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

No position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

No position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 86% 20.22 shares
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Yes 80.9% 23.36 shares
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

No 84.5% 7 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

No 78% 23.07 shares
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 77% 9.21 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 76% 22.36 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

No 81% 22.64 shares
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 23.78 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

No 82% 22.21 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 77% 23.53 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76% 24.92 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 25.09 shares