Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $13.54
- Potential payout
- $250.68
- Potential profit
- $237.14
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$11.46
Polymarket Trader
Bet974
0xdeee99b0fae81fe5e149fca1a026b9da84c0cb75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.23
- Realized PnL
- -$25.35
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $15.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $109.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $107.07
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.83
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $78.85
- Potential profit
- $78.73
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.62
- Potential profit
- $39.62
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.98
- Potential profit
- $25.98
- User PnL
- -$16.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $18.86
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $18.2
- Potential profit
- $16.78
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.58
- Potential profit
- $11.58
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 6.1% 18.2 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 11% 22.73 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 16% 125 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 10% 250.68 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 3.4% 116 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 11% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 62% 8.68 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes 1.4% 371.99 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 65.9% 22.02 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes 2.5% 39.62 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 66% 25 shares