Polymarket Trader

0xDef2a5D3AB3D39D8f8834D8C01c8CF955a65c543-1780171415262

0xdef2a5d3ab3d39d8f8834d8c01c8cf955a65c543

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.67K
Realized PnL: $2.88K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.63K
Potential profit: $8.63K
User PnL: -$42.51

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $3.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$298.16

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $97.98
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46.4%
Current value: $628.21
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $725.7
Multiplier: 2.16x
User PnL: $528.22

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$259

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $190.49
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $820.06
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $160.49

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $72.77
Potential payout: $990.1
Potential profit: $917.33
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$27.23

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.3%
Current value: $676.54
Potential payout: $898.46
Potential profit: $221.92
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $476.54

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.65
Potential profit: $495.65
User PnL: -$114

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438.38
Potential profit: $438.38
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.82
Potential profit: $374.82
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330.51
Potential profit: $330.51
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272
Potential profit: $272
User PnL: -$68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $655.39

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570.95

Yes position

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.03

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $533.93

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.4

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.31

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.91

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $168.83

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $82.31

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.06

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$13.93

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.56

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.72

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44.79

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$109.71

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$126.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 7% 1,430.34 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 58.3% 1,232.59 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 44.6% 1,232.59 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 22.5% 445.3 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 22.1% 453.15 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 6.3% 952.38 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 12.3% 729.86 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Yes 99.4% 658.08 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Yes 15.2% 658.09 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?

Yes 13.7% 438.38 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 4% 1,250 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 13.8% 725 shares