Polymarket Trader

sugargosha

0xdef303066a49ac8d3a14a71f8bf57423a7a6f121

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $222.01
Realized PnL: $2.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $57.96
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $51.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $50.78
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $30.41
Potential payout: $30.88
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $12.2
Potential payout: $12.48
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Venezia FC win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.62

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.23

Reds position

Reds vs. Angels

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.76

Cubs position

Braves vs. Cubs

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.81

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.7%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 98.5% 21 shares
Will Venezia FC win on 2025-12-08?

No 48% 975 shares
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers

Brewers 59% 983 shares
Red Sox vs. Orioles

Orioles 49% 1,124 shares
Reds vs. Angels

Reds 58% 1,028 shares
Nationals vs. Royals

Nationals 38% 942 shares
Royals vs. Blue Jays

Blue Jays 59% 162 shares
Celtics vs. Knicks

Knicks 57% 1,061 shares