Polymarket Trader

yolol

@laodao365609

0xdf0a655b1f2961505df136ed25379a1d1daf08e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.49K
Realized PnL: $28.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $28.66K
Potential payout: $28.94K
Potential profit: $274.89
User PnL: $535

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $17.46K
Potential payout: $18.89K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$119.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $17.77K
Potential payout: $17.84K
Potential profit: $62.43
User PnL: $197.37

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.97K
Potential profit: $9.97K
User PnL: -$6.77K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $6.73K
Potential payout: $9.04K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $863.58
Potential payout: $864.02
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: $27.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $991.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $978.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $846.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $832.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $831.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.6% 12,059.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.5% 480 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.5% 8,299.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.4% 2,468.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 98.5% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 99.6% 10,040.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 99.5% 10,050.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 95% 1,681.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 94% 117.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 94% 280.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 98% 920.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 96.7% 1,553.55 shares