Yes position
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
zar69
0xdf0d0579f8935d735ec6c69b079cb600f909c7be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $582.87
- Realized PnL
- $9.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.83K
- Potential profit
- $10.83K
- User PnL
- -$529.98
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.69K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
California redistricting referendum passes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$160
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$61.95
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $201.67
- Potential payout
- $986.63
- Potential profit
- $784.96
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$48.33
Yes position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $784.02
- Potential profit
- $784.02
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $723.61
- Potential profit
- $722.52
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$98.91
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $12.84
- Potential payout
- $694.26
- Potential profit
- $681.41
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $687.75
- Potential profit
- $687.75
- User PnL
- -$49.28
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Bitcoin above $120000 on August 13?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645.16
- Potential profit
- $645.16
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Guillermo del Toro win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $587.84
- Potential profit
- $587.84
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.45
- Potential profit
- $581.45
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $367.27
- Potential payout
- $578.38
- Potential profit
- $211.11
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556.15
- Potential profit
- $556.15
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.67
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.11
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.2
No position
Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.44
Yes position
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.29
No position
Bitcoin above $122000 on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.33
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $110K on September 4 at 4PM ET?
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.22
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.55
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.96
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on July 30?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
Yes position
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.12
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.29
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.92
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.09
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.42
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.67
No position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 76% 65.79 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 72% 69.44 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 59% 84.75 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No 92.2% 287.68 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 149.25 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33% 388.46 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 64.1% 132.61 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 280 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 88.7% 225.4 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 130.21 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 550 shares