No position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Polymarket Trader
0xdf13...2124
0xdf13540fc66987f3a1c309ca437c46f4c09a2124
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $26.7
- Realized PnL
- -$12.22
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$12.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.6% 29 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 16% 11 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.7% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 8 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 78% 5 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 22% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 92% 6 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 61.3% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 81% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 24.9% 5 shares