Polymarket Trader

0xdf273312fAFA86e9e02BE94e436e542Cd3254753-1769104299490

0xdf273312fafa86e9e02be94e436e542cd3254753

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.34K
Realized PnL: -$418.32
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.54K
Potential profit: $20.54K
User PnL: -$102.68

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $16.13K
Potential profit: $14.75K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $0.85
User PnL: $706.89

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $64.69
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $560.31
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$35.31

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $202.16
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $415.12
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $102.16

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.62
Potential profit: $134.62
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.28
Potential profit: $9.28
User PnL: -$4.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.58

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$496.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 34% 29.41 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 37% 13.51 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 1,923.07 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 61% 49.18 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 57.69 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 57.69 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 58% 86.21 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 98.04 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 99% 79 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 63% 79.37 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 78.13 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 65% 100 shares