No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $3.78K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $218
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $78.8
Polymarket Trader
0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221
0xdf273e0fe72a613b27de588aaa5237f3b76ae6e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.13K
- Realized PnL
- $4.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $77.93
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.26
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $93.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $17.1
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- User PnL
- $32.62
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $44.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $962.26
- Potential payout
- $983.91
- Potential profit
- $21.65
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $799.22
- Potential payout
- $940.25
- Potential profit
- $141.04
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $26.21
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $840.35
- Potential payout
- $908.49
- Potential profit
- $68.14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $23.73
No position
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $827.94
- Potential payout
- $901.41
- Potential profit
- $73.46
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $26.98
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $714.13
- Potential payout
- $772.03
- Potential profit
- $57.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $35.05
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $627.26
- Potential payout
- $670.87
- Potential profit
- $43.61
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.04
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $449.63
- Potential payout
- $500.99
- Potential profit
- $51.35
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $433.98
- Potential payout
- $435.07
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.61
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $195.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $74.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.8
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$13.8
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $54.49
- Potential payout
- $56.76
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $11.56
- Potential payout
- $13.52
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $4.09
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.7
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $399.47
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $184.65
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.99
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $152.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.93
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $106.54
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $90.01
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $89.87
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.79
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.13
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.03
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $66.97
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.2
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.31
Yes position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $41.19
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.45
N
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No 90% 30 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No 89% 14.73 shares
- Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 229.14 shares
- Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No 79% 300 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 199.99 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 99.3% 5.05 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 100 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 92.2% 20 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 92.2% 19.99 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 92.1% 84.48 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 92% 44.48 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 94% 100 shares