Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $213.44
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $867.26
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$326.91
Polymarket Trader
zkwall
0xdf2e31f96d992098a7ee31f7bf988bf3a513623f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.68K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.16
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $867.26
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $213.44
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $326.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $592.05
- Potential payout
- $600.76
- Potential profit
- $8.71
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.11
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- User PnL
- -$11.71
No position
Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$8.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?No 89% 5.49 shares
- o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 98% 1.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?Yes 87% 2.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?Yes 83% 14.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Yes 90% 10.4 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 77% 6.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?Yes 97% 4.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No 98.5% 4.77 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes 78% 1.57 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99% 1.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?Yes 97.4% 1.32 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 2.95 shares