Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$589.46
Polymarket Trader
Gelob
0xdf33e5279b9e413bbc8979f7f03aa72498f790e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $356.63
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $224.75
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$658.74
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $56.63
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$104.65
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$95.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $256.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$46.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $17.11
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $246.05
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$82.89
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252
- Potential profit
- $252
- User PnL
- -$25.7
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $14.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $56.79
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$15.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.53
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.83
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.71
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.17
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 26% 440 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 60% 6.6 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 57% 50 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 1,300 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 27% 120 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 82% 326.4 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 7% 1,359 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.2% 152 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 35% 47.61 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 13% 804.39 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 40% 30.05 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 35% 53 shares