Polymarket Trader

0xdF43480bcD7f6Cc75acf752C67d542f811346A1c-1724000753116

0xdf43480bcd7f6cc75acf752c67d542f811346a1c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28K
Realized PnL: $34.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.35K
Potential profit: $47.35K
User PnL: -$14.56K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.71K
Potential profit: $20.71K
User PnL: -$6.88K

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $6.31K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $444.07
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $5.86K
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$55.93

Yes position

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $5.58K
User PnL: -$1.14K

Yes position

Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.8K
User PnL: -$604.74

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $334.31
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $3.77K
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$2.05

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$224

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$401.95

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$77

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$292.68

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.9%
Current value: $500.45
Potential payout: $896.06
Potential profit: $395.61
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$162.41

No position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413
Potential profit: $413
User PnL: -$156.94

Yes position

Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178
Potential profit: $178
User PnL: -$24.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

No position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.38K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87K

Yes position

Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $993.39

Yes position

Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $952.82

Yes position

Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.84

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $693.7

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.82

No position

Will Biden say "God" 3 or more times during farewell address?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.26

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525

No position

Will Biden say "Hunter" during farewell address?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.14

Yes position

Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $372.84

No position

Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $360.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 4,101.95 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 55.8% 896.06 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 6,307.78 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Bosnia and Herzegovina 17% 6,499.99 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 11% 572.29 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 17% 4,000 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 18% 1,500 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 20.4% 618 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 28% 5,000 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 27% 1,084 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 29% 5,000 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 31% 3,321.04 shares