Polymarket Trader

SoldmanGachs

0xdf60ffa7494a02cd8aa88775db8dbf8cf5deaf2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $333.94
Realized PnL: $4.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$337.6

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $332.44
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $39.19

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $937.53
Potential profit: $937.53
User PnL: -$168.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $854.17
Potential profit: $854.17
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $607.89
Potential profit: $607.89
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572.28
Potential profit: $572.28
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532.55
Potential profit: $532.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.4
Potential profit: $518.4
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.91
Potential profit: $477.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.37
Potential profit: $414.37
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.76
Potential profit: $411.76
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.21
Potential profit: $361.21
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.62
Potential profit: $347.62
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.7
Potential profit: $333.7
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321.94
Potential profit: $321.94
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$90.3

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$82.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.94

No position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.32

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.96

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.69

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.69

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $190.08

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.81

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.93

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.46

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.63

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.26

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.48

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.86

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 375000-400000 vehicles in Q2?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.81

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.83

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.67

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.65

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.39

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 31.7% 820.83 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 18% 505.56 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 18% 555.56 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 11.4% 132.14 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 11% 181.4 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 9.9% 100.83 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 477.91 shares
GPT ads by March 31?

No 10.2% 609.32 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

No 35% 142.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Up 1% 999.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Up 8% 124.83 shares
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Yes 28% 476.19 shares