maxrol88

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.93K
Potential payout: $15.94K
Potential profit: $9K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.43K

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $5.97K
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $39.06
User PnL: $901.49

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$518.4

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $28.48
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.03K
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $30.45
User PnL: $497.35

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$672

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.26K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$120

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$778.6

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$780

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $244.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$46.44

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$185.95

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $261.45
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $438.55
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $171.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$415.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$221.97

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $251.42
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$44.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.56
Potential profit: $196.56
User PnL: -$112.04

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$21.6

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sacrifice" during Address to the Nation?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $812.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.16

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.18

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.77

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.29

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.46

No position

French election called by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.53

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.36

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.19

Zverev position

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.54

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.11

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.2

Henrique Rocha position

Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs David Jorda Sanchis

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.29

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.05

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.35

Cavaliers position

76ers vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?